불황이 지속되면서 연금 수령액을 낮추는 방안이 등장

연금시장 2018. 11. 28. 01:17

주식시장이 좋지않고 저금리도 지속되고 있는 상태에서 네델란드의 4개 대형 연기금의 재정적립수준(funding levels)가 악화되고 있습니다.
결국 연금 수령액을 낮추는 방안을 꺼내들 것 같습니다.
금속산업의 연기금인 PMT와 PME의 경우 적립비율이 3%p 낮아져서 가까스로 101% 정도에 머무를 것으로 예상되자 2020년에는 급여삭감을 할것을 시사하고 있습니다.

지난 10월 MSCI World index가 6.7% 떨어지고 30년 swap rate가 거의 3bp 빠져서 1.5%가 된 상태입니다. 이렇게 금리가 낮아지면 연금부채는 눈덩이처럼 불어나는 거지요.

물론 작년부터 가입자들과 계속 협상을 지속하고 있는데, 10년간 무조건적이고 불가역적인 형태로 삭감할 모양입니다.

공무원 연금인 ABP도 연기금 자산은 2.8% 감소한 반면 연금부채는 0.1% 올라서 재정상태가 법정최소적립비율인 105%를 간신히 넘기고 있네요. 결국 연금급여삭감 카드가 등장할 듯 싶습니다.

출처 : https://retirementincomejournal.com/article/dutch-pensions-face-possible-benefit-cuts/?fbclid=IwAR1ez25y1e2oL5-QDqgakyct0t1F-UKFP9oUfU-edPfg2uCGAdcBp_aI8_g

November 22, 2018

Dutch pensions face possible benefit cuts

The MSCI World index declined by 6.7% during October and the 30-year swap rate dropped almost three basis points, to 1.5%. Interest rates are crucial for discounting future pension liabilities.

Falling equity markets and lower interest rates hurt the funding levels of the four largest Dutch pension funds in October, prompting them to contemplate benefits cuts to participants, IPE.com reported.

Two metal industry pensions, PMT and PME, drew closer to imposing benefit cuts in 2020 after figures published last week showed that their funding ratios had declined three percentage points, to about 101%.

PME said it had already been communicating to members the risk of cuts through all its information channels during the past year. “We are trying to find a balance between warning and unnecessarily worrying our participants,” it said. Cuts can be spread out over a 10-year period, but they are unconditional and cannot be reversed.

The MSCI World index declined by 6.7% during October and the 30-year swap rate dropped almost three basis points, to 1.5%. Interest rates are crucial for discounting future pension liabilities.

Civil service pension ABP saw the value of its assets drop 2.8% to €407bn, while its liabilities rose 0.1% to €399bn. To avoid benefit cuts, its funding ratio must rebound to the required minimum of about 105% by year-end. Benefit cuts must be applied when a plan has been underfunded for five consecutive years.

To PMT and PME, their funding at the end of 2019 will be crucial to avoid cuts. At the end of October, their coverage ratios stood at 102.5% and 101.7%, respectively, compared to the required 104.3%.

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