우리나라 연금제도는 낮은 수준

연금시장 2019. 10. 27. 10:05
2019년 최고의 연금제도를 가진 나라는 네델란드와 덴마크라고 Melbourne Mercer Global Pensions Index가 발표했다.
전세계 인구의 2/3가 살고 있는 37개국을 대상으로 조사했는데, 국가가 은퇴자를 위해 어떤 금융서비스를 제공하는냐에 중점을 두고 분석했다. 호주, 핀란드, 스웨덴, 노르웨이, 싱가포르 등이 상위권이고 영국과 미국은 각각 14위와 16위였다. 반면 지속적으로 국민연금을 받는 나이가 늦어지고 있는 우리나라와 일본은 하위권으로 평가되었다.

출처 : https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2019-10-20/these-are-the-world-s-best-and-worst-pension-systems?

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미국 GE의 퇴직연금 동결

연금시장 2019. 10. 8. 18:43
GE가 2만명의 근로자에 대한 DB제도를 2021년부터 동결(freeze)한다고 2019년 10월 7일 발표했다. 10만명의 기존 가입자에게는 보험회사등을 통한 연금구입(pension buyouts)을 제공한다고 한다.
GE는 미국내에서 몇 안되는 DB도입 대형 사업장인데, 이미 2012년부터 신입직원에게 DB가입을 막아놓은 상태였다.
GE는 현재 60만명의 퇴직근로자에게 연금채무를 지고 있고 연기금 재정적자가 2018년말 기준 270억달러(약 32조원)에 달하고 있다.

금번 조치로 재정적자를 80억달러 정도를 줄일수 있을것으로 예상된다.

컨설팅 회사인 Milliman의 분석에 의하면 GE는 IBM 다음으로 가장 많은 확정급여채무(PBO)를 가진 회사인데, 2018년 적립비율은 76%에 불과하다. 한편 IBM은 91%이고 GM, FORD, Boeing 등 100대  기업의 중위값은 89%이다.

출처 : https://www.wsj.com/articles/ge-unveils-pension-plan-changes-aimed-at-paring-deficit-debt-load-11570447318?redirect=amp

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퇴직연금의 안전자산 투자 증가

연금시장 2018. 8. 5. 17:57

최근 DB형 퇴직연금제도에서 안전자산에 대한 투자비중이 증가하고 있다.

세계 100대 기업의 연기금(FTSE 100 companies) 중에서 64개가 전체 연금자산의 50%이상을 채권에 투자하고 있다. 특히 InterContinental Hotels의 채권비중이 100%, Direct Line Insurance는 97%, Legal & General은 92%, Rentokil Initial은 92%, Rolls-Royce는 90%, Prudential은 88%이다.

전반적으로 채권비중은 작년 62%에서 64%로 증가하였다. 참 10년전에는 35%였다.

이러한 증가의 원인은 역시나 회계기준( IAS 19)이다. 리스크를 줄이려는 기업들이 채권을 선호하게되고 대체투자나 LDI보다도 CDI(cashflow-driven investment)로 돌아서게 만든것 같다.

 

출처 : https://www.professionalpensions.com/professional-pensions/analysis/3036932/ftse-100-schemes-increase-bond-allocation-to-de-risk

FTSE 100 schemes increase bond allocation to de-risk

The average allocation to bonds is now 64%, which has increased from 62% in 2017

Two-thirds of FTSE 100 DB schemes invest more than 50% of assets in bonds to tackle investment mismatching, according to JLT research. Victoria Ticha takes a closer look

In its latest quarterly report, JLT Employee Benefits (JLT) found that 64 FTSE 100 defined benefit (DB) schemes invest more than 50% of their assets in bonds.

Despite the uptick in the aggregate bond allocations, the data shows investment mismatching persists across some of the UK's largest DB pension schemes.

Many schemes have also switched to cashflow-driven investment (CDI) to find low-risk matching bonds, suggesting that the use of alternative investment strategies will continue to grow.

Drive to de-risk

The average pension scheme asset allocation to bonds is now 64%, which has increased from 62% a year before, and compares to 35% 10 years ago.

A number of schemes reported "significant de-risking" strategies, including 10 blue chip schemes that switched more than 10% of assets into bonds during the last 12 months. Legal & General is the latest company to report a big switch, with bond allocations increasing by 23%.

JLT estimates the total deficit across FTSE 100 DB schemes fell by 34% to £41bn over the year to 31 December 2017.

JLT Employee Benefits chief actuary Charles Cowling says FTSE 100 pension schemes have clearly been proactive in taking steps to de-risk their schemes, and the significant shift into bonds is an encouraging sign of trustees' and sponsor commitment to tackling scheme risk in company balance sheets.

Despite this, the findings suggest high levels of investment mismatching clearly persist across some of the UK's largest DB schemes.

Investment mismatching

Investment mismatching, in terms of the IAS 19 accounting position, refers to liabilities being valued using AA corporate bonds. Therefore, assets other than these bonds will lead to a mismatch.

JLT says the allocation of pension scheme assets to bonds gives an indication of the level of investment mismatching.

Some of the FTSE 100 companies with the highest percentage of assets allocated to bonds include: InterContinental Hotels (100%); Direct Line Insurance (97%); Legal & General (92%); Rentokil Initial (92%); Rolls-Royce (90%) and Prudential (88%).

Those with lowest allocation to bonds include: Hammerson (0%); British Land (6%); Ashtead (19%); Informa (23%) and Tesco (41%).

JLT reports that despite the fact that there is an increasing weight of opinion from academics and analysts that mismatched investment strategies in pension schemes reduce shareholder value, and can lead to balance sheet volatility, the data suggests some companies are still running very large mismatched equity positions in their DB pension schemes.

Schemes prepared to take equity risk were rewarded in 2017, as stock markets enjoyed highs.

"Equity allocations proved helpful to scheme portfolios through the second half of 2017, when strong market returns provided a much-needed boost to portfolio returns and supported improvements in underlying funding levels," says Cowling. "However, market conditions in 2018 have delivered a much rougher ride and maybe as a result, pension schemes are increasingly looking at alternative investment strategies."

Russell Investments head of liability-driven investment solutions David Rae says - as some schemes have seen an uptick in funding levels - 2018 has been an opportune time to move away from equities and into bonds.

"Bonds give you the return with much less risk. As a corporate sponsor, if you're worried about the balance sheet and income statement risk, then switching more assets to bonds is a sensible strategy to de-risk. As such, we could see a more dynamic allocation across portfolios [this year]."

Emergence of CDI

Over the past year, companies continued to tackle mounting pension liabilities by closing schemes to both future and current employees.

With 27 of the FTSE 100 DB schemes now closed to future accrual, many will be thinking about the end-game for their schemes.

According to Cowling, this explains the popularity of locking down risk via CDI, which matches liabilities with a range of fixed income assets while still generating a modest return.

The emergence of CDI has allowed schemes to invest in low risk matching bonds but at the same time benefit from higher returns through a diverse portfolio of multi-asset credit funds.

While pension schemes have been keen to reduce risk, switching out of equities into bonds can mean an unwelcome call for additional funding on employers.

However, Cowling explains that CDI strategies are increasingly allowing pension schemes to reduce risk while at the same time allowing them to retain sufficient investment returns to avoid the need for additional employer funding.

"With the growing interest in CDI strategies and the opportunities to lock in gains offered by recent strong equity markets, we expect to see the trend to de-risk pension schemes by switching out of equities to continue, and possibly even gather pace during 2018," he says.

FTSE 100  with the greatest increase in bond allocation
Name Rank Current Bond Allocation Previous Bond Allocation Switch to Bonds
Legal & General 1 92% 69% +23%
Ferguson 2 67% 50% +17%
Tesco 3 41% 25% +16%
Croda International 4 47% 35% +12%
BP 5 53% 42% +12%
TUI AG 6 75% 64% +11%
Pearson 7 54% 44% +11%
Segro 8 86% 76% +10%
G4S 9 46% 36% +10%
ITV 10 83% 74% +10%

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